America Mineiro 2-0 Avai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 3 Sep 2025

📅03/09/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.72
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+8.6pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.6pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Avai EU Bookmakers 38%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.43/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.99
+42% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.9 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America Mineiro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Avai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
324 Passes 340
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Avai Avai 3-0 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
12.10.2024 Avai Avai 2-2 HT 1-2 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
26.06.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-1 Avai Avai BR2
01.08.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-1 HT 1-1 Avai Avai BR1
11.04.2022 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
30.01.2021 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-1 HT 2-0 Avai Avai BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
2-0
AWAY Avai
1.06 xG 0.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
352 Passes 380
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH America Mineiro vs Avai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America Mineiro got the better of Avai 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, America Mineiro had 48% of the ball to Avai's 52%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.06 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for America Mineiro and 1.50 for Avai.

What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Avai?

America Mineiro 2-0 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 03/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Avai?

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 43%, draw 25%, Avai 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America Mineiro), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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