Nacional 0-3 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 22 Jul 2026

Nacional
0-3 HT 0-2
Atletico Tigre
📅22/07/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Copa Sudamericana – 2026

Nacional vs Atletico Tigre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.41
Over 2.5
39%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.8pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
67%
-6.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
33%
+6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nacional v Atletico Tigre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 31%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.21/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.76
+8% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.5
25.6 Crosses 13.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5

Nacional 0-3 Atletico Tigre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional
0-3
AWAY Atletico Tigre
0.30 xG 1.25
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
256 Passes 437
15 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nacional vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tigre ran out comfortable winners over Nacional 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Atletico Tigre found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.30 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Nacional vs Atletico Tigre?

Nacional 0-3 Atletico Tigre in the Copa Sudamericana on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nacional 38%, draw 27%, Atletico Tigre 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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