UCV 1-4 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 22 Jul 2026

UCV
1-4 HT 0-1
Santos
📅22/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
1-4
AWAY Santos
0.40 xG 2.41
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
266 Passes 469
10 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UCV vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos swept aside UCV 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.40 to 2.41.

What was the final score of UCV vs Santos?

UCV 1-4 Santos in the Copa Sudamericana on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split UCV 29%, draw 24%, Santos 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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