Fjölnir 1-2 IR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.9pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
1.27/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.01
-25% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
1W-0D-1L
AWAY IR Reykjavik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
20.06.2024 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 3-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
30.04.2019 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 1-3 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fjölnir
1-2
AWAY IR Reykjavik
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs IR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik squeezed past Fjölnir 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day IR Reykjavik made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Fjölnir had 48% of the ball to IR Reykjavik's 52%, shots finished 16-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fjölnir and 2.00 for IR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs IR Reykjavik?

Fjölnir 1-2 IR Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs IR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fjölnir win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 39%, draw 25%, IR Reykjavik 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fjölnir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fjölnir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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