IR Reykjavik 3-1 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.39
No
51%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.6pp
51%
BTTS No
32%
+18.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 48%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.38
+23% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IR Reykjavik
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fjölnir
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
3 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
30.04.2019 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 1-3 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IR Reykjavik
3-1
AWAY Fjölnir
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH IR Reykjavik vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik saw off Fjölnir 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day IR Reykjavik made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, IR Reykjavik had 44% of the ball to Fjölnir's 56%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of IR Reykjavik vs Fjölnir?

IR Reykjavik 3-1 Fjölnir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IR Reykjavik vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fjölnir win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IR Reykjavik 34%, draw 26%, Fjölnir 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fjölnir), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fjölnir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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