Afturelding 0-3 İB Vestmannaeyjar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-10.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+6.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.6pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.91/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.23
+6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +48%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
0W-0D-3L
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
53% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 6
31.07.2021 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-0 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
21.05.2021 Afturelding Afturelding 0-5 HT 0-3 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL1
19.08.2020 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-0 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs İB Vestmannaeyjar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İB Vestmannaeyjar swept aside Afturelding 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İB Vestmannaeyjar as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İB Vestmannaeyjar led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Afturelding and 2.67 for İB Vestmannaeyjar.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

Afturelding 0-3 İB Vestmannaeyjar in the Iceland - 1st Division on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

Before kick-off our model rated an İB Vestmannaeyjar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 32%, draw 27%, İB Vestmannaeyjar 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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