Keflavik 1-1 Throttur Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 20 Jun 2024

Keflavik
1-1 HT 0-0
Throttur Reykjavik
📅20/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2024

Keflavik vs Throttur Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.17
Over 2.5
67%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.3pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.9pp
33%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.6pp
67%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.0pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Keflavik v Throttur Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
3.41/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.43
+24% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Keflavik vs Throttur Reykjavik Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
17.02.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-2 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
21.09.2020 Keflavik Keflavik 4-2 HT 3-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
20.09.2009 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 2-2 HT 1-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
25.06.2009 Keflavik Keflavik 3-2 HT 0-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL
01.06.2008 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 3-2 HT 1-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Throttur Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik and Throttur Reykjavik shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Keflavik at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Keflavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Keflavik and 2.00 for Throttur Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Keflavik 1-1 Throttur Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 57%, draw 21%, Throttur Reykjavik 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Keflavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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