Nacional Potosi 2-1 Royal Pari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
16%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-14.0pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.1pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Pari EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.99/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.71
+31% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 71%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
24.7 Crosses 11.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Royal Pari
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.65 xG 0.58
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
311 Passes 195
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-0 HT 0-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
22.02.2024 Royal Pari Royal Pari 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
04.12.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 6-1 HT 3-1 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
03.06.2023 Royal Pari Royal Pari 2-2 HT 0-2 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
01.10.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-0 HT 0-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
24.09.2021 Royal Pari Royal Pari 2-0 HT 2-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
2-1
AWAY Royal Pari
1.95 xG 1.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
315 Passes 230
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Royal Pari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi squeezed past Royal Pari 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 56% of the ball to Royal Pari's 44%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.95 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nacional Potosi and 0.83 for Royal Pari.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Royal Pari?

Nacional Potosi 2-1 Royal Pari in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Royal Pari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 55%, draw 27%, Royal Pari 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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