Melgar vs Sporting Cristal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melgar v Sporting Cristal — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Sporting Cristal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Melgar
PER
0-2
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
0-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Cristal
PER
Melgar 2-0 Sporting Cristal — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar beat Sporting Cristal 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Melgar had 48% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 52%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.37 to 0.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Melgar and 0.67 for Sporting Cristal.
What was the final score of Melgar vs Sporting Cristal?
Melgar 2-0 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melgar vs Sporting Cristal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Melgar 48%, draw 29%, Sporting Cristal 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.