Sporting Cristal vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Cristal v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Cristal vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Melgar
PER
0-2
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
0-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Cristal
PER
2-2
HT 1-1
Melgar
PER
Sporting Cristal 1-2 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar squeezed past Sporting Cristal 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting Cristal at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Sporting Cristal had 58% of the ball to Melgar's 42%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.32 to 0.96 — on chances, Sporting Cristal could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.17 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Melgar?
Sporting Cristal 1-2 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 46%, draw 27%, Melgar 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.