Alianza Atletico 1-1 Cesar Vallejo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +20%
1.52/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.76
+24% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +105%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
15.1 Crosses 15.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.95 xG 1.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
210 Passes 303
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.07.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-1 HT 0-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
06.02.2023 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 2-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
14.08.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 3-0 HT 2-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
20.03.2022 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 3-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
31.07.2021 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 2-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
28.10.2015 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
1-1
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
0.43 xG 0.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
200 Passes 308
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Cesar Vallejo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Atletico and Cesar Vallejo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 43% of the ball to Cesar Vallejo's 57%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.43 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesar Vallejo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.50 for Cesar Vallejo.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Cesar Vallejo?

Alianza Atletico 1-1 Cesar Vallejo in the Peru - Premier League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Cesar Vallejo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 35%, draw 32%, Cesar Vallejo 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza Atletico), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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