Comerciantes Unidos 3-2 Sport Huancayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 39%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
0.78/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.98
+129% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +105%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
19.0 Crosses 19.2
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sport Huancayo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.18 xG 1.36
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
279 Passes 367
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.09.2018 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
26.05.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-3 HT 0-3 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
30.10.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 HT 2-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
21.07.2017 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 3-1 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
10.04.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 HT 1-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
04.03.2017 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 4-2 HT 1-2 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
3-2
AWAY Sport Huancayo
1.02 xG 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
358 Passes 316
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comerciantes Unidos nicked a narrow win over Sport Huancayo 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Comerciantes Unidos found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 52% of the ball to Sport Huancayo's 48%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.02 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Huancayo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 2.17 for Sport Huancayo.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo?

Comerciantes Unidos 3-2 Sport Huancayo in the Peru - Premier League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 38%, draw 28%, Sport Huancayo 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) ✗ Under 2.5
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