Al Wehda 3-3 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.21
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
8%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 33% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.25/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.62
-23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
19.6 Crosses 14.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.99 xG 1.09
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
364 Passes 306
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.12.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
13.08.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
3-3
AWAY Al Riyadh
2.32 xG 0.69
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
381 Passes 237
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda and Al Riyadh shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Wehda had 60% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 40%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.32 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Wehda and 1.00 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Riyadh?

Al Wehda 3-3 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wehda win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 40%, draw 30%, Al Riyadh 30%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Wehda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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