Al Nassr 1-1 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 22 Aug 2024

Al Nassr
1-1 HT 1-0
Al Raed
📅22/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Nassr vs Al Raed Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.98
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.46
2-3 Goals
36%
2.24
4-5 Goals
31%
2.43
6+ Goals
12%
4.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
80%
-16.5pp
19%
Draw
11%
+8.0pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Nassr v Al Raed — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
2.31/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.60
+19% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +15%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
458 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 72%
34.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
24.6 Crosses 12.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Al Nassr vs Al Raed Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Raed
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.16 xG 0.85
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
518 Passes 260
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.03.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
16.09.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
28.04.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
16.12.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
21.05.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
20.11.2021 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-2 HT 2-2 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD

Al Nassr 1-1 Al Raed — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
1-1
AWAY Al Raed
2.29 xG 1.03
72% Ball Possession 28%
28 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 1
553 Passes 180
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
41 Box Touches 11
44 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr and Al Raed couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Al Nassr carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Nassr had 72% of the ball to Al Raed's 28%, shots finished 28-7, expected goals 2.29 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Al Nassr and 1.17 for Al Raed.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Raed?

Al Nassr 1-1 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 64%, draw 19%, Al Raed 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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