Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Detroit City — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
5-1
HT 4-1
Detroit City
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Detroit City
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-3 Detroit City — Actual Match Statistics
Detroit City squeezed past Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay Rowdies at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 61% of the ball to Detroit City's 39%, shots finished 28-12, expected goals 3.00 to 1.36 — on chances, Tampa Bay Rowdies could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.60 for Detroit City.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-3 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 51%, draw 25%, Detroit City 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.