Detroit City 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +7%
0.82/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.40
-37% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.1 Crosses 16.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Detroit City
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.58 xG 1.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
284 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 5-1 HT 4-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
29.04.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 0-1 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
18.09.2022 Detroit City Detroit City 1-0 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
07.08.2022 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-0 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
1-1
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
0.52 xG 2.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
210 Passes 234
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 39
5 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Detroit City and Tampa Bay Rowdies shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Detroit City had 48% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 52%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 0.52 to 2.48.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Detroit City and 1.75 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Detroit City 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 35%, draw 27%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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