Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-1 Monterey Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.66/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.65
-5% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
16.9 Crosses 17.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Monterey Bay
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.13 xG 1.40
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
283 Passes 486
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 10
8 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 2-2 HT 1-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0-1
AWAY Monterey Bay
1.42 xG 0.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 0
367 Passes 317
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Monterey Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterey Bay nicked a narrow win over Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 53% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 47%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.42 to 0.54 — on chances, Pittsburgh Riverhounds could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Monterey Bay?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-1 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Monterey Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 53%, draw 25%, Monterey Bay 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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