Orange County SC 4-1 Memphis 901 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.28/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.33
-9% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
16.3 Crosses 14.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orange County SC
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Memphis 901
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 0.86
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 406
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 0-2 HT 0-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
23.07.2023 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 3-4 HT 3-3 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
04.09.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orange County SC
4-1
AWAY Memphis 901
1.58 xG 1.13
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
245 Passes 426
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Orange County SC vs Memphis 901
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orange County SC swept aside Memphis 901 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Orange County SC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orange County SC had 40% of the ball to Memphis 901's 60%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.58 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Orange County SC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Orange County SC and 1.33 for Memphis 901.

What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Memphis 901?

Orange County SC 4-1 Memphis 901 in the USL Championship on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs Memphis 901?

Before kick-off our model rated an Memphis 901 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 34%, draw 26%, Memphis 901 40%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Memphis 901) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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