Oakland Roots 1-0 Louisville City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
12%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Louisville City EU Bookmakers 50%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.28/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.91
-16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +120%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
15.0 Crosses 19.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakland Roots
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Louisville City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.65 xG 1.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 7
295 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 0
27.08.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 2-1 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oakland Roots
1-0
AWAY Louisville City
1.33 xG 0.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
344 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oakland Roots vs Louisville City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakland Roots nicked a narrow win over Louisville City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Louisville City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Oakland Roots had 51% of the ball to Louisville City's 49%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.33 to 0.96.

What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs Louisville City?

Oakland Roots 1-0 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs Louisville City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 29%, draw 24%, Louisville City 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Louisville City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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