Deportivo Tachira 1-1 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.24/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.82
+10% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
22.1 Crosses 16.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
0W-6D-0L
AWAY Caracas FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.66 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
268 Passes 263
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
03.03.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
26.11.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-1 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
13.11.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-1 HT 1-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
22.10.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
24.07.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
23.04.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-1 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
1-1
AWAY Caracas FC
1.66 xG 1.09
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
280 Passes 182
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira and Caracas FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Tachira at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 58% of the ball to Caracas FC's 42%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.66 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 6 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 0.83 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas FC?

Deportivo Tachira 1-1 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 50%, draw 30%, Caracas FC 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Tachira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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