Portuguesa FC 2-1 Angostura FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.95/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.71
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.1 Crosses 12.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Angostura FC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.31 xG 0.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
265 Passes 308
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
13.05.2024 Angostura FC Angostura FC 3-4 HT 1-2 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
06.05.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
03.03.2024 Angostura FC Angostura FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
30.09.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
12.02.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
2-1
AWAY Angostura FC
1.40 xG 2.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
197 Passes 190
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Angostura FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC squeezed past Angostura FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Portuguesa FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 48% of the ball to Angostura FC's 52%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 1.40 to 2.10 — the balance of chances actually favoured Angostura FC.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Portuguesa FC and 1.60 for Angostura FC.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Angostura FC?

Portuguesa FC 2-1 Angostura FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Angostura FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 43%, draw 29%, Angostura FC 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portuguesa FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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