Gabes 2-1 AS Marsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.36
Over 2.5
27%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.44
No
65%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
1.75
2-3 Goals
34%
1.81
4-5 Goals
12%
7.17
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.7pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.7pp
73%
Under 2.5
70%
+3.1pp
27%
Over 2.5
30%
-3.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
37%
-2.3pp
65%
BTTS No
63%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gabes EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.96/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-6% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -55%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gabes
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AS Marsa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.04.2023 AS Marsa AS Marsa 2-0 HT 0-0 Gabes Gabes TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gabes
2-1
AWAY AS Marsa
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gabes vs AS Marsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gabes edged past AS Marsa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Gabes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gabes had 34% of the ball to AS Marsa's 66%, shots finished 11-18.

What was the final score of Gabes vs AS Marsa?

Gabes 2-1 AS Marsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gabes vs AS Marsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gabes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gabes 37%, draw 31%, AS Marsa 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gabes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gabes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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