ES Metlaoui 2-1 CS Sfaxien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.17
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.33
Over 2.5
36%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
7.53
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
28%
+10.7pp
27%
Draw
33%
-5.4pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
72%
-7.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
28%
+7.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 43%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
0.59/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.94
-34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
273 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CS Sfaxien
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2025 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 1-1 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
22.12.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-1 HT 1-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1
25.11.2023 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
17.09.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1B
03.06.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-3 HT 0-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TNUSK
03.03.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-1 HT 1-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1A
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs CS Sfaxien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui nicked a narrow win over CS Sfaxien 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; ES Metlaoui found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Metlaoui had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ES Metlaoui and 1.33 for CS Sfaxien.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs CS Sfaxien?

ES Metlaoui 2-1 CS Sfaxien in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs CS Sfaxien?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 39%, draw 27%, CS Sfaxien 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Metlaoui) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Metlaoui) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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