Avellino vs Arezzo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Avellino v Arezzo — Team-Based Signals
Avellino vs Arezzo Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Avellino 1-2 Arezzo — Actual Match Statistics
Arezzo came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Avellino 2-1 on the road. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We leaned Avellino at 44% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 60% to 40% in Avellino's favour, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.69 to 1.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arezzo led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Avellino against 2.50 for Arezzo.
Avellino vs Arezzo Result & Final Score
Avellino 1 - 2 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie B on 22/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Avellino vs Arezzo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Avellino 44%, draw 30%, Arezzo 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.