Benevento vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Benevento v Modena — Team-Based Signals
Benevento vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Benevento 1-2 Modena — Actual Match Statistics
Modena squeezed past Benevento 2-1 away from home. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Modena made the difference.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
On the day, possession split 51% to 49% in Benevento's favour, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.00 to 1.44.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Benevento had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Benevento against 1.00 for Modena.
Benevento vs Modena Result & Final Score
Benevento 1 - 2 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 22/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Benevento vs Modena Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Benevento 39%, draw 29%, Modena 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benevento), Under 2.5 went the other way.