Sigma Olomouc 2-1 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
11.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 26% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-10.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.48/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.46
-26% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 69%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
27.2 Crosses 19.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Dukla Prag
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
29.10.2019 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 4-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEKK
02.03.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-4 HT 0-2 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
22.09.2018 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
30.03.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-3 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
23.09.2017 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
06.05.2016 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
2-1
AWAY Dukla Prag
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
256 Passes 295
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc squeezed past Dukla Prag 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sigma Olomouc as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 47% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 53%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sigma Olomouc had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 0.67 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Dukla Prag?

Sigma Olomouc 2-1 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sigma Olomouc win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 51%, draw 24%, Dukla Prag 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sigma Olomouc), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sigma Olomouc) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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