Mlada Boleslav 2-2 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-11.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.83/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.06
+12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
24.3 Crosses 14.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 0.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
260 Passes 337
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
39 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-2 HT 0-2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
11.11.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
12.02.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
27.08.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-3 HT 0-3 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
05.12.2021 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-3 HT 0-3 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
08.08.2021 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2-2
AWAY FK Pardubice
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
366 Passes 314
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav and FK Pardubice shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mlada Boleslav at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 53% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 47%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.00 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs FK Pardubice?

Mlada Boleslav 2-2 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 52%, draw 24%, FK Pardubice 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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