Liverpool (K) 1-1 Leicester City WFC (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-13.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+11.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.06/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.11
+52% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
15.0 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.70 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
327 Passes 312
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
18.05.2024 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
09.03.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) İNKFAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool (K)
1-1
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K)
1.37 xG 0.24
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
429 Passes 244
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool (K) and Leicester City WFC (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool (K) had 61% of the ball to Leicester City WFC (K)'s 39%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.37 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Liverpool (K) and 1.00 for Leicester City WFC (K).

What was the final score of Liverpool (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)?

Liverpool (K) 1-1 Leicester City WFC (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 40%, draw 26%, Leicester City WFC (K) 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Liverpool (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
22 Sep 2024
14:30 Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K) Analysis →
16:00 Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Crystal Palace (K) Analysis →