Arsenal (K) 2-2 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

Arsenal (K)
2-2 HT 1-1
Manchester City (K)
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2024/2025

Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal (K) v Manchester City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.30 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
410 Passes 387
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
11.02.2024 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKFAK
27.10.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
11.05.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
23.02.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKLK
02.12.2018 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL

Arsenal (K) 2-2 Manchester City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
2-2
AWAY Manchester City (K)
2.24 xG 1.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
353 Passes 500
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) and Manchester City (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arsenal (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 42% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 58%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.24 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arsenal (K) and 0.67 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Arsenal (K) 2-2 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 43%, draw 30%, Manchester City (K) 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
22 Sep 2024
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