Österlen 2-0 IFK Trelleborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.33
No
38%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
71%
-9.2pp
38%
BTTS No
29%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Österlen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.17/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.84
-39% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Österlen
0W-1D-2L
AWAY IFK Trelleborg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 4.67
01.06.2024 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 7-1 HT 4-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
07.10.2023 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 4-4 HT 2-2 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
22.06.2023 Österlen Österlen 0-3 HT 0-0 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Österlen vs IFK Trelleborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Österlen saw off IFK Trelleborg 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Österlen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, IFK Trelleborg led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Österlen and 4.67 for IFK Trelleborg.

What was the final score of Österlen vs IFK Trelleborg?

Österlen 2-0 IFK Trelleborg in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Österlen vs IFK Trelleborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Österlen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Österlen 45%, draw 27%, IFK Trelleborg 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Österlen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Österlen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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