Vastra Frolunda IF 2-2 Varbergs GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.6pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.98/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.80
+16% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Varbergs GIF
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.05.2024 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 0-0 HT 0-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
09.09.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 1-1 HT 0-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
14.05.2023 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 1-4 HT 0-2 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
08.09.2022 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 3-3 HT 3-1 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
28.11.2021 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 1-3 HT 0-0 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
18.09.2021 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 2-2 HT 0-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF
2-2
AWAY Varbergs GIF
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vastra Frolunda IF vs Varbergs GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vastra Frolunda IF and Varbergs GIF couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vastra Frolunda IF had 37% of the ball to Varbergs GIF's 63%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varbergs GIF led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vastra Frolunda IF and 2.17 for Varbergs GIF.

What was the final score of Vastra Frolunda IF vs Varbergs GIF?

Vastra Frolunda IF 2-2 Varbergs GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vastra Frolunda IF vs Varbergs GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vastra Frolunda IF win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vastra Frolunda IF 36%, draw 29%, Varbergs GIF 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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