Winterthur 1-4 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.62
1/2
7%
21.0
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
7%
9.35
X/2
12%
4.13
X/X
9%
5.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.16
2/X
8%
14.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 58%
+15% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.02/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.26
-13% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
14.2 Crosses 24.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Young Boys
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.24 xG 1.90
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
238 Passes 379
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
21.04.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-2 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
04.11.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-4 HT 1-2 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
05.08.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 5-2 HT 3-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
29.05.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 2-1 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
04.03.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-1 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
1-4
AWAY Young Boys
1.53 xG 2.18
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 483
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys ran out comfortable winners over Winterthur 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Young Boys as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Winterthur had 39% of the ball to Young Boys's 61%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.53 to 2.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Winterthur and 2.83 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Young Boys?

Winterthur 1-4 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 27%, draw 24%, Young Boys 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Young Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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