Sion 0-0 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

Sion
0-0 HT 0-0
Lugano
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.71
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
12%
5.6
X/2
19%
5.64
X/X
11%
4.49
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
17%
3.76
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-7.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.27/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.26
-4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.7 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lugano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.11 xG 2.02
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
249 Passes 414
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Sion Sion 0-2 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSVK
23.04.2023 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
05.03.2023 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
01.03.2023 Sion Sion 0-3 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSVK
22.01.2023 Sion Sion 2-3 HT 1-2 Lugano Lugano İSV
17.07.2022 Lugano Lugano 2-3 HT 0-1 Sion Sion İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
0-0
AWAY Lugano
0.56 xG 0.85
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 6
246 Passes 591
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sion vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion and Lugano fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sion had 32% of the ball to Lugano's 68%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.56 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sion and 2.17 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Sion vs Lugano?

Sion 0-0 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sion 29%, draw 28%, Lugano 43%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lugano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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