Fiorentina (K) 4-0 Sampdoria (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 22 Sep 2024

Fiorentina (K)
4-0 HT 1-0
Sampdoria (K)
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2024/2025

Fiorentina (K) vs Sampdoria (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
70%
-4.6pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.4pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fiorentina (K) v Sampdoria (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.20/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.87
-14% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
22.0 Crosses 9.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.8

Fiorentina (K) vs Sampdoria (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.54 xG 0.91
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
421 Passes 197
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
15 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
12.11.2023 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA

Fiorentina (K) 4-0 Sampdoria (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
4-0
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
2.58 xG 0.75
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
450 Passes 218
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
48 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Sampdoria (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) swept aside Sampdoria (K) 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 64% of the ball to Sampdoria (K)'s 36%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.58 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fiorentina (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fiorentina (K) and 0.50 for Sampdoria (K).

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 4-0 Sampdoria (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 65%, draw 20%, Sampdoria (K) 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
22 Sep 2024
13:30 Como (K) vs Roma (K) Analysis →
16:45 Inter Milano (K) vs AC Milan (K) Analysis →