Real Madrid (K) 2-0 A. Bilbao (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.29
Draw
33%
4.95
Away
33%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
73%
-39.9pp
33%
Draw
17%
+16.1pp
33%
Away Win
10%
+23.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.31/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.39
+4% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.9
19.2 Crosses 11.0
0.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY A. Bilbao (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.46 xG 0.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
416 Passes 342
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 4
09.06.2024 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 A. Bilbao (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
27.01.2024 A. Bilbao (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) saw off A. Bilbao (K) 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Madrid (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Madrid (K) and 0.00 for A. Bilbao (K).

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 2-0 A. Bilbao (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, A. Bilbao (K) 33%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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