Borussia Dortmund II 3-0 Alemannia Aachen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 22 Sep 2024

Borussia Dortmund II
3-0 HT 0-0
Alemannia Aachen
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Borussia Dortmund II vs Alemannia Aachen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.91
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 23% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.15
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
10%
12.55
X/1
7%
5.19
X/2
13%
6.35
X/X
10%
4.94
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
18%
4.19
2/X
9%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borussia Dortmund II v Alemannia Aachen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.17/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.49
-23% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 11.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5

Borussia Dortmund II vs Alemannia Aachen Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
17.01.2021 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 2-1 HT 1-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
05.09.2020 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 0-1 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II ALMBÖL
01.02.2020 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 3-3 HT 2-2 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II ALMBÖL
23.10.2019 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-3 HT 0-2 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
03.08.2012 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-1 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3

Borussia Dortmund II 3-0 Alemannia Aachen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
3-0
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 12
288 Passes 259
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund II vs Alemannia Aachen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II ran out comfortable winners over Alemannia Aachen 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Borussia Dortmund II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund II had 51% of the ball to Alemannia Aachen's 49%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund II had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 1.60 for Alemannia Aachen.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund II vs Alemannia Aachen?

Borussia Dortmund II 3-0 Alemannia Aachen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund II vs Alemannia Aachen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alemannia Aachen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund II 34%, draw 29%, Alemannia Aachen 37%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) ✗ BTTS Yes
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