Viktoria Köln 2-1 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.41
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
10%
12.25
X/1
7%
5.71
X/2
18%
5.99
X/X
8%
5.22
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
19%
3.65
2/X
8%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+6.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.41/3.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.15
+3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
11.0 Crosses 14.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Verl
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2023 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
05.08.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 3-1 HT 1-1 Verl Verl AL3
01.04.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-1 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
07.10.2022 Verl Verl 2-2 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
22.01.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 5-2 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
14.08.2021 Verl Verl 3-1 HT 2-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
2-1
AWAY Verl
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
318 Passes 377
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln squeezed past Verl 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Verl at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 46% of the ball to Verl's 54%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Viktoria Köln and 1.67 for Verl.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Verl?

Viktoria Köln 2-1 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated an Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 32%, draw 26%, Verl 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Verl) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Verl) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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