Al Urooba 1-2 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.03
Over 2.5
64%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
45%
-9.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
55%
+8.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 48%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.48/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.79
+12% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.5 Crosses 21.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Urooba
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.64 xG 1.88
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 9
317 Passes 357
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2022 Al Urooba Al Urooba 1-3 HT 0-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAECK
05.05.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE
23.01.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAELK
03.11.2021 Al Urooba Al Urooba 1-4 HT 0-2 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Urooba
1-2
AWAY Khorfakkan
0.71 xG 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
241 Passes 311
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Urooba vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khorfakkan nicked a narrow win over Al Urooba 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Khorfakkan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Urooba had 44% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 56%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.71 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Khorfakkan led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Al Urooba and 2.50 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Al Urooba vs Khorfakkan?

Al Urooba 1-2 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Urooba vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khorfakkan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Urooba 30%, draw 25%, Khorfakkan 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khorfakkan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Khorfakkan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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