La Louvière 2-0 Lokeren-Temse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.23
6+ Goals
12%
11.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.23 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Louvière EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 26%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
0.47/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.34
-45% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -63%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
15.0 Crosses 30.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Louvière
2-0
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
0.95 xG 0.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
261 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Louvière vs Lokeren-Temse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Louvière beat Lokeren-Temse 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had La Louvière as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Louvière had 50% of the ball to Lokeren-Temse's 50%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.95 to 0.69.

What was the final score of La Louvière vs Lokeren-Temse?

La Louvière 2-0 Lokeren-Temse in the Belgium - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Louvière vs Lokeren-Temse?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Louvière win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split La Louvière 50%, draw 26%, Lokeren-Temse 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Louvière) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Louvière) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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