Holstebro BK 2-2 VSK Arhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
38%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
53%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
25%
+13.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
38%
Away Win
52%
-13.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.1pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.03/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.25
-19% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstebro BK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY VSK Arhus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-2 HT 0-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
14.10.2023 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-1 HT 0-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
13.11.2022 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-1 HT 1-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
20.08.2022 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 3-1 HT 1-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
15.05.2021 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 1-2 HT 0-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN2
04.10.2020 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 0-1 HT 0-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstebro BK
2-2
AWAY VSK Arhus
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Holstebro BK vs VSK Arhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstebro BK and VSK Arhus couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Holstebro BK had 45% of the ball to VSK Arhus's 55%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VSK Arhus led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Holstebro BK and 1.33 for VSK Arhus.

What was the final score of Holstebro BK vs VSK Arhus?

Holstebro BK 2-2 VSK Arhus in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstebro BK vs VSK Arhus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstebro BK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Holstebro BK 39%, draw 24%, VSK Arhus 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Holstebro BK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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