Avarta 2-2 Lyseng — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.8
Over 2.5
57%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.81
No
38%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
51%
+10.2pp
38%
BTTS No
49%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avarta EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyseng EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.32/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.90
-28% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avarta
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lyseng
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 11
13 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Lyseng Lyseng 0-2 HT 0-1 Avarta Avarta DAN3
15.10.2023 Avarta Avarta 2-0 HT 0-0 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avarta
2-2
AWAY Lyseng
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avarta vs Lyseng
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avarta and Lyseng couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Avarta had 58% of the ball to Lyseng's 42%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Avarta had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Avarta and 0.00 for Lyseng.

What was the final score of Avarta vs Lyseng?

Avarta 2-2 Lyseng in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avarta vs Lyseng?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyseng win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Avarta 37%, draw 25%, Lyseng 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lyseng) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyseng) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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