EPS 4-5 PKKU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 22 Sep 2024

EPS
4-5 HT 2-4
PKKU
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.57
2-3 Goals
37%
2.14
4-5 Goals
30%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.0pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EPS EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY PKKU EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EPS
0W-2D-1L
AWAY PKKU
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
10.08.2024 PKKU PKKU 1-1 HT 1-1 EPS EPS FİN3
26.05.2024 EPS EPS 2-2 HT 1-0 PKKU PKKU FİN2
17.10.2020 EPS EPS 0-3 HT 0-2 PKKU PKKU FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EPS
4-5
AWAY PKKU
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH EPS vs PKKU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PKKU edged past EPS 5-4 away from home. Half-time: 2-4. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was EPS at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, EPS had 48% of the ball to PKKU's 52%, shots finished 16-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, PKKU led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for EPS and 2.00 for PKKU.

What was the final score of EPS vs PKKU?

EPS 4-5 PKKU in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EPS vs PKKU?

Before kick-off our model rated a EPS win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split EPS 43%, draw 24%, PKKU 33%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (EPS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (EPS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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