Yangpyeong 3-1 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.2pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yangpyeong EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 37%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
0.17/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.40
-86% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yangpyeong
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Busan Transportation
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
9 Corners 1
26.05.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-3 HT 0-3 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
02.09.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 4-0 HT 2-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
06.05.2023 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 1-2 HT 0-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Yangpyeong vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yangpyeong got the better of Busan Transportation 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Yangpyeong made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Busan Transportation led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Yangpyeong and 2.33 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Yangpyeong vs Busan Transportation?

Yangpyeong 3-1 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yangpyeong vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yangpyeong win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Yangpyeong 36%, draw 30%, Busan Transportation 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yangpyeong), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yangpyeong) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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