Gangneung City 1-2 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
53%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.5pp
20%
Draw
27%
-6.7pp
52%
Away Win
45%
+7.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.11/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.13
-3% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
254 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangneung City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
25.05.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
23.07.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
08.04.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
27.08.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-3 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
01.05.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-2 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
31.10.2021 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
POST-MATCH Gangneung City vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP squeezed past Gangneung City 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gyeongju HNP as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gangneung City and 1.33 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Gangneung City vs Gyeongju HNP?

Gangneung City 1-2 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangneung City vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gangneung City 27%, draw 20%, Gyeongju HNP 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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