Pohang Steelers 2-1 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.84
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
14%
5.76
X/2
12%
5.51
X/X
14%
4.56
2/1
12%
29.0
2/2
12%
3.59
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 40%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.01/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.43
-10% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
27.0 Crosses 28.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Gangwon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
467 Passes 255
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.07.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
01.05.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 2-4 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
26.08.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
28.06.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-1 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
21.05.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 0-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
18.03.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
2-1
AWAY Gangwon
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
263 Passes 451
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers edged past Gangwon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 40% of the ball to Gangwon's 60%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pohang Steelers and 0.83 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Gangwon?

Pohang Steelers 2-1 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 42%, draw 27%, Gangwon 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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