Gwangju 0-2 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 22 Sep 2024

Gwangju
0-2 HT 0-0
Jeju United
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Gwangju vs Jeju United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.54
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
20%
4.16
X/2
8%
7.85
X/X
13%
4.6
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
11%
6.17
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gwangju v Jeju United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 28%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -22%
0.00/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.11/3.00
-100% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -91% / -51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
24.0 Crosses 19.0
0.4 Yellow Cards 0.7

Gwangju vs Jeju United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jeju United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
380 Passes 354
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.06.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
01.05.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-3 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
01.10.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
11.07.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
26.04.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
18.09.2021 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK

Gwangju 0-2 Jeju United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
0-2
AWAY Jeju United
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
356 Passes 263
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United saw off Gwangju 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gwangju at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Gwangju had 55% of the ball to Jeju United's 45%, shots finished 12-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gwangju and 0.83 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Jeju United?

Gwangju 0-2 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 47%, draw 28%, Jeju United 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gwangju) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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