Kerala Blasters 2-1 East Bengal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.0
Over
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
20%
3.77
2-3
40%
1.82
4-5
29%
3.23
6+
11%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.4pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY East Bengal EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.16/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.43
+6% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.0 Crosses 15.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerala Blasters
3W-1D-2L
AWAY East Bengal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
286 Passes 275
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-4 HT 1-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
04.11.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 1-2 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
03.02.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 1-0 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
07.10.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-1 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
14.02.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
12.12.2021 East Bengal East Bengal 1-1 HT 1-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerala Blasters
2-1
AWAY East Bengal
0.56 xG 1.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
286 Passes 331
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerala Blasters squeezed past East Bengal 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kerala Blasters as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Kerala Blasters had 46% of the ball to East Bengal's 54%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.56 to 1.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured East Bengal.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kerala Blasters had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kerala Blasters and 1.33 for East Bengal.

What was the final score of Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal?

Kerala Blasters 2-1 East Bengal in the India - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerala Blasters win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kerala Blasters 41%, draw 24%, East Bengal 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerala Blasters), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kerala Blasters) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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