FC Oss 0-4 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.6
No
56%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 32% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.34
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
12%
5.35
X/2
16%
5.92
X/X
14%
5.14
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
12%
3.83
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.2pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.32/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.95
+0% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
21.1 Crosses 20.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 1.27
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
320 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
27.11.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
02.11.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOK
17.02.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
14.10.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
11.02.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
0-4
AWAY FC Eindhoven
0.76 xG 2.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
326 Passes 431
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 23
33 Crosses 15
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven swept aside FC Oss 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; FC Eindhoven found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, FC Oss had 45% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 55%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.76 to 2.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Oss and 1.00 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs FC Eindhoven?

FC Oss 0-4 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Oss win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 37%, draw 26%, FC Eindhoven 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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