FC Oss 2-1 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 5 Apr 2024

FC Oss
2-1 HT 0-1
FC Eindhoven
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

FC Oss vs FC Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.52
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.33
X/2
15%
5.81
X/X
12%
4.48
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.98
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Oss v FC Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +16%
1.34/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.95
+5% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
18.9 Crosses 20.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

FC Oss vs FC Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.78 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
330 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.11.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
02.11.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOK
17.02.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
14.10.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
11.02.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
09.10.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2

FC Oss 2-1 FC Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
2-1
AWAY FC Eindhoven
0.95 xG 0.81
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
290 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Oss nicked a narrow win over FC Eindhoven 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; FC Oss found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Oss had 48% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 52%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.95 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Oss and 1.17 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs FC Eindhoven?

FC Oss 2-1 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 36%, draw 26%, FC Eindhoven 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Eindhoven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✓ BTTS Yes
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