Cambuur 0-2 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 5 Apr 2024

Cambuur
0-2 HT 0-0
ADO Den Haag
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Cambuur vs ADO Den Haag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 27% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.13
1/2
10%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
10%
5.26
X/2
14%
6.49
X/X
15%
4.9
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
14%
4.22
2/X
5%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambuur v ADO Den Haag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +13%
1.12/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.15
-11% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.5 Crosses 19.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Cambuur vs ADO Den Haag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
2W-2D-2L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.51 xG 1.42
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
389 Passes 219
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.11.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-2 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
24.01.2016 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
25.10.2015 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
17.01.2015 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 2-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
30.08.2014 Cambuur Cambuur 3-2 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
03.05.2014 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL

Cambuur 0-2 ADO Den Haag — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
0-2
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.21 xG 2.37
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
293 Passes 254
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag saw off Cambuur 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day ADO Den Haag made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cambuur had 53% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 47%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 0.21 to 2.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cambuur and 1.67 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs ADO Den Haag?

Cambuur 0-2 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 34%, draw 29%, ADO Den Haag 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ BTTS Yes
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